Simultaneous Games
2024
Outline
Game Tables/Strategic Form
Nash Equilibrium
Dominant Strategies
Pause at 2:20. We’ll come back to Nick and Ibrahim!
From the perspective of Nick, his payoffs depend on what Ibrahim has chosen:
if Ibrahim Splits | if Ibrahim Steals | |
---|---|---|
if Nick Splits he wins: | \(\$6,800\) | \(\$ 0\) |
if Nick Steals he wins: | \(\$13,600\) | \(\$ 0\) |
From the perspective of Ibrahim, his payoffs depend on what Nick has chosen:
if Nick Splits | if Nick Steals | |
---|---|---|
if Ibrahim Splits he wins: | \(\$6,800\) | \(\$ 0\) |
if Ibrahim Steals he wins: | \(\$13,600\) | \(\$ 0\) |
In a game, the best choices are interdependent:
(Nick: \(\$x\), Ibrahim: \(\$y\)) | Ibrahim Splits | Ibrahim Steals |
---|---|---|
Nick Splits | \((\$6,800, \$6,800)\) | \((\$0, 13,600)\) |
Nick Steals | \((\$13,600, \$0)\) | \((\$0, \$0)\) |
What do you think will happen in this game?
Would you choose Split or Steal
What would you say to your opponent?
Simultaneous games
Sequential games
A Strategic Form game is defined by:
A set of players who have decisions
A strategy set for each player which is the collection of strategies they choose from
A payoff function which tells us how the player evaluates a strategy profile.
Tip
A strategy profile is a combination of strategies made by all players.
Row, Column | Left | Middle | Right |
---|---|---|---|
Top | (3,1) | (2,3) | (10,2) |
High | (4,5) | (3,0) | (6,4) |
Low | (2,2) | (5,4) | (12,3) |
Bottom | (5,6) | (4,5) | (9,7) |
In this game, each players’ complete strategy only contains one action each
Player 1:
In this game, each players’ complete strategy only contains one action each
Player 2:
For now, we assume that these players can only choose one strategy at a time
I.e., not (Left, Right), (High, Low, Bottom), etc
In Chapter 7, we will relax this assumption by allowing for random mixing of strategies
There are twelve different strategy profiles possible in this game:
each of which was represented by a cell in our game table.
Notice how each cell has two numbers for the payoffs.
For example, the first cell for the strategy profile { Top, Left }:
(3,1)
means that the row player has a payoff of 3, the column player gets a payoff of 1Ducks , Buckeyes | Run | Pass | Blitz |
---|---|---|---|
Run | 2, –2 | 5, –5 | 13, –13 |
Short Pass | 6, –6 | 5.6, –5.6 | 10.5, –10.5 |
Medium Pass | 6, –6 | 4.5, –4.5 | 1, –1 |
Long Pass | 10, –10 | 3, –3 | –2, 2 |
Notice that in this game, the payoffs in every cell add up to one
Before we cover how to solve a game, we first need to discuss what a solution to a game even is.
As with many types of problem in economics, we’re interested in finding an equilibrium:
The most basic form of equilibrium in game theory is the Nash Equilibrium (NE), which can be described as:
A strategy profile such that no player can obtain a larger payoff by unilaterally deviating
A strategy profile such that no single player can make themselves better off by changing only their own strategy.
A strategy profile such that, after the game is played, each player is satisfied that they could not have made a better decision
Nash Equilibrium
A list of strategies where each player’s strategy is the best response to the other’s best response strategy
Let’s look at one specific strategy profile in this game:
Left | Middle | Right | |
---|---|---|---|
Top | (3,1) | (2,3) | (10,2) |
High | (4,5) | (3,0) | (6,4) |
Low | (2,2) | (5,4) | (12,3) |
Bottom | (5,6) | (4,5) | (9,7) |
Row chooses Low and Column chooses Middle
Let’s look at one specific strategy profile in this game:
Left | Middle | Right | |
---|---|---|---|
Top | (3,1) | (2,3) | (10,2) |
High | (4,5) | (3,0) | (6,4) |
Low | (2,2) | (5,4) | (12,3) |
Bottom | (5,6) | (4,5) | (9,7) |
Row chooses Low and Column chooses Middle
Let’s look at one specific strategy profile in this game:
Left | Middle | Right | |
---|---|---|---|
Top | (3,1) | (2,3) | (10,2) |
High | (4,5) | (3,0) | (6,4) |
Low | (2,2) | (5,4) | (12,3) |
Bottom | (5,6) | (4,5) | (9,7) |
Row chooses Low and Column chooses Middle
What is special about the strategy profile (Low, Middle)?
It’s stable because neither player would have any incentive to change what they’re doing
In other words, neither player has regrets over their choice given what the other player is doing
However, notice that this doesn’t mean that this is the best that the players could do jointly
Left | Middle | Right | |
---|---|---|---|
Top | (3,1) | (2,3) | (10,2) |
High | (4,5) | (3,0) | (6,4) |
Low | (2,2) | (5,4) | (12,3) |
Bottom | (5,6) | (4,5) | (9,7) |
What about (Bottom, Right)?
Left | Middle | Right | |
---|---|---|---|
Top | (3,1) | (2,3) | (10,2) |
High | (4,5) | (3,0) | (6,4) |
Low | (2,2) | (5,4) | (12,3) |
Bottom | (5,6) | (4,5) | (9,7) |
Even though (Bottom, Right) is a Pareto improvement on (Low, Middle), it is unstable because it would be rational for Row player to change their strategy to Low to try to get the higher payoff of 12
Left | Middle | Right | |
---|---|---|---|
Top | (3,1) | (2,3) | (10,2) |
High | (4,5) | (3,0) | (6,4) |
Low | (2,2) | (5,4) | (12,3) |
Bottom | (5,6) | (4,5) | (9,7) |
What about (Top, Left)?
Left | Middle | Right | |
---|---|---|---|
Top | (3,1) | (2,3) | (10,2) |
High | (4,5) | (3,0) | (6,4) |
Low | (2,2) | (5,4) | (12,3) |
Bottom | (5,6) | (5,5) | (9,7) |
A Nash equilibrium doesn’t require the equilibrium strategies to be strict improvements.
So a Nash Equilibrium requires players best responding to each other.
But if a game is simultaneous, then players can’t observe what the other does
So how can someone respond to something that hasn’t happened yet?
How to make sense of best-responses in simultaneous games:
Players might base their beliefs of the other players’ strategies on experience from playing similar games before
You might also put yourself into your opponents’ shoes to think about what they might do
You should also expect that they are thinking about what you’re thinking
Let’s see an example of this logic in action:
Nash Equilibrium
A set of strategies, one for each player, such that:
each player has correct beliefs about the strategies of the others and
the strategy of each is the best for herself, given her beliefs about the strategies of the others.
To see the concept of Nash Equilibrium in action, we will start with the most famous example.
There are two criminals, who I like to call Guido and Luca.
There are four different possibilities of what could happen:
Guido, Luca | Testify | Keep Quiet |
---|---|---|
Testify | -10, -10 | 0, -20 |
Keep Quiet | -20, 0 | -1, -1 |
Remember that you cannot communicate with your fellow prisoner
How would you have to be that they won’t sell you out for you to choose to keep quiet?
Let’s think through this from Guido’s perspective.
Imagine that Luca keeps Quiet. This gives Guido a choice of two options: he can also keep Quiet, and get a short prison sentence, or he can Testify and get released. Obviously, Guido prefers to Testify.
Now imagine that Luca Testifies. This again gives Guido a choice of two options: he can also keep Quiet, and get a long prison sentence, or he can Testify and get a medium sentence. Obviously, Guido still prefers to Testify.
In other words, Guido prefers to Testify, no matter what Luca does.
If we go through this logic from Luca’s perspective, we find that Luca also always prefers to Testify.
Although the outcome where both criminals keep quiet Pareto dominates the outcome where they both testify and serve 10 years, would it be stable?
In the {Quiet, Quiet} strategy profile, either player could deviate to Testify and shorten their prison time.
{Testify, Testify} is the only stable strategy profile, where no one could unilaterally deviate to decrease their sentence.
Split | Steal | |
---|---|---|
Split | \((\$6,800, \$6,800)\) | \((\$0, 13,600)\) |
Steal | \((\$13,600, \$0)\) | \((\$0, \$0)\) |
Although the numbers are different, the structure is the same.
Split or Steal is a Prisoners’ Dilemma
start from 2:20
Guido, Luca | Testify | Keep Quiet |
---|---|---|
Testify | -10,-10 | 0,-20 |
Keep Quiet | -20,0 | -1,-1 |
False Confession | -20, 0 | -20, -1 |
What if we change the Prisoner’s Dilemma like this? What would you pick if you were Guido?
Guido, Luca | Testify | Keep Quiet | False Confession |
---|---|---|---|
Testify | -10, -10 | 0, -20 | 0, -20 |
Keep Quiet | -20, 0 | -1, -1 | -1, -20 |
False Confession | -20, 0 | -20, -1 | -10, -10 |
What about this third variation? What would you pick if you were Guido?
One last question, and this one isn’t based on a Prisoner’s Dilemma…
Lisa, Bart | R | P | S |
---|---|---|---|
R | 0, 0 | -1, 1 | 1, -1 |
P | 1, -1 | 0, 0 | -1, 1 |
S | -1, 1 | 1, -1 | 0,0 |
This game models a game of Rock-Paper-Scissors. If you are Lisa, which strategy will you choose?
The first three of those games contained strategies that were obviously bad choices.
Rock-Paper-Scissors did not.
One of the simplest things you can do with a strategic-form game is to start by finding and eliminating (ruling out) the strategies which are obviously bad.
In some games, this can even be enough to identify the Nash Equilibrium!
Elimination of dominated strategies can simplify finding equilibria by removing strategies
When we first discussed NE, we found them by checking all of the strategy profiles in the game to see which of them were stable.
This is easy for a 2x2 game or even a 3x3 game like we’ve seen
We can make it easier to find NEs with a few useful shortcuts
A strategy is said to be strictly dominated if there is some other strategy, in the same player’s strategy set, which provides that player a higher payoff, no matter what strategies the other players pick.
Guido, Luca | Testify | Keep Quiet |
---|---|---|
Testify | -10, -10 | 0, -20 |
Keep Quiet | -20, 0 | -1, -1 |
Both Guido and Luca prefer to Testify, no matter whether the other player chose:
Guido, Luca | Testify | Keep Quiet |
---|---|---|
Testify | -10, -10 | 0, -20 |
Keep Quiet | -20, 0 | -1, -1 |
It is not rational to play a strictly dominated strategy
In the Prisoners’ Dilemma, both players have each have one dominant strategy, which made finding the NE easy.
CONGRESS, FEDERAL RESERVE | Low interest rates | High interest rates |
---|---|---|
Budget balance | 3,4 | 4,1 |
Budget deficit | 1,3 | 2,2 |
CONGRESS, FEDERAL RESERVE | Low interest rates | High interest rates |
---|---|---|
Budget balance | 3,4 | 1,3 |
Budget deficit | 4,1 | 2,2 |
The Fed would like to set low interest rates, but only if Congress keeps the budget under control
CONGRESS, FEDERAL RESERVE | Low interest rates | High interest rates |
---|---|---|
Budget balance | 3,4 | 1,3 |
Budget deficit | 4,1 | 2,2 |
\(P_1\), \(P_2\) | \(a\) | \(b\) | \(c\) |
---|---|---|---|
\(A\) | 1, 1 | 2, 2 | 3, 3 |
\(B\) | 2, 0 | 3, 1 | 4, 2 |
\(C\) | 3, 1 | 2, 2 | 1, 1 |
\(P_1\), \(P_2\) | \(a\) | \(b\) | \(c\) |
---|---|---|---|
\(A\) | 1, 1 | 2, 2 | 3, 3 |
\(B\) | 2, 0 | 3, 1 | 4, 2 |
\(C\) | 3, 1 | 2, 2 | 1, 1 |
\(P_1\), \(P_2\) | \(a\) | \(b\) | \(c\) |
---|---|---|---|
\(A\) | 1, 1 | 2, 2 | 3, 3 |
\(B\) | 2, 0 | 3, 1 | 4, 2 |
\(C\) | 3, 1 | 2, 2 | 1, 1 |
\(P_1\), \(P_2\) | \(a\) | \(b\) | \(c\) |
---|---|---|---|
\(A\) | 1, 1 | 2, 2 | 3, 3 |
\(B\) | 2, 0 | 3, 1 | 4, 2 |
\(C\) | 3, 1 | 2, 2 | 1, 1 |
\(P_1\), \(P_2\) | \(a\) | \(b\) | \(c\) |
---|---|---|---|
\(A\) | 1, 1 | 2, 2 | 3, 3 |
\(B\) | 2, 0 | 3, 1 | 4, 2 |
\(C\) | 3, 1 | 2, 2 | 1, 1 |
Consider this even larger game:
\(P_1\), \(P_2\) | \(a\) | \(b\) | \(c\) | \(d\) | \(e\) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
\(A\) | 1, 1 | 2, 2 | 2, 2 | 2, 1 | 4, 1 |
\(B\) | 1, 3 | 1, 3 | 2, 2 | 2, 3 | 3, 2 |
\(C\) | 1, 2 | 2, 4 | 1, 3 | 2, 3 | 1, 3 |
\(D\) | 3, 2 | 2, 3 | 1, 4 | 2, 2 | 1, 2 |
\(E\) | 2, 1 | 3, 2 | 3, 2 | 3, 3 | 4, 1 |
Suppose we start by looking for Player 1’s strictly dominated strategies:
\(P_1\), \(P_2\) | \(a\) | \(b\) | \(c\) | \(d\) | \(e\) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
\(A\) | 1, 1 | 2, 2 | 2, 2 | 2, 1 | 4, 1 |
\(B\) | 1, 3 | 1, 3 | 2, 2 | 2, 3 | 3, 2 |
\(C\) | 1, 2 | 2, 4 | 1, 3 | 2, 3 | 1, 3 |
\(D\) | 3, 2 | 2, 3 | 1, 4 | 2, 2 | 1, 2 |
\(E\) | 2, 1 | 3, 2 | 3, 2 | 3, 3 | 4, 1 |
Suppose we start by looking for Player 1’s strictly dominated strategies:
\(P_1\), \(P_2\) | \(a\) | \(b\) | \(c\) | \(d\) | \(e\) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
\(A\) | 1, 1 | 2, 2 | 2, 2 | 2, 1 | 4, 1 |
\(B\) | 1, 3 | 1, 3 | 2, 2 | 2, 3 | 3, 2 |
\(C\) | 1, 2 | 2, 4 | 1, 3 | 2, 3 | 1, 3 |
\(D\) | 3, 2 | 2, 3 | 1, 4 | 2, 2 | 1, 2 |
\(E\) | 2, 1 | 3, 2 | 3, 2 | 3, 3 | 4, 1 |
\(P_1\), \(P_2\) | \(a\) | \(b\) | \(c\) | \(d\) | \(e\) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
\(A\) | 1, 1 | 2, 2 | 2, 2 | 2, 1 | 4, 1 |
\(B\) | 1, 3 | 1, 3 | 2, 2 | 2, 3 | 3, 2 |
\(C\) | 1, 2 | 2, 4 | 1, 3 | 2, 3 | 1, 3 |
\(D\) | 3, 2 | 2, 3 | 1, 4 | 2, 2 | 1, 2 |
\(E\) | 2, 1 | 3, 2 | 3, 2 | 3, 3 | 4, 1 |
\(P_1\), \(P_2\) | \(a\) | \(b\) | \(c\) | \(d\) | \(e\) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
\(A\) | 1, 1 | 2, 2 | 2, 2 | 2, 1 | 4, 1 |
\(B\) | 1, 3 | 1, 3 | 2, 2 | 2, 3 | 3, 2 |
\(C\) | 1, 2 | 2, 4 | 1, 3 | 2, 3 | 1, 3 |
\(D\) | 3, 2 | 2, 3 | 1, 4 | 2, 2 | 1, 2 |
\(E\) | 2, 1 | 3, 2 | 3, 2 | 3, 3 | 4, 1 |
After eliminating \(B\) and \(C\), now \(a\) and \(e\) are strictly dominated by \(b\) for Player 2
This is conditional on Player 2 knowing that if Player 1 is rational, they would never play \(B\) or \(C\)
\(P_1\), \(P_2\) | \(a\) | \(b\) | \(c\) | \(d\) | \(e\) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
\(A\) | 1, 1 | 2, 2 | 2, 2 | 2, 1 | 4, 1 |
\(B\) | 1, 3 | 1, 3 | 2, 2 | 2, 3 | 3, 2 |
\(C\) | 1, 2 | 2, 4 | 1, 3 | 2, 3 | 1, 3 |
\(D\) | 3, 2 | 2, 3 | 1, 4 | 2, 2 | 1, 2 |
\(E\) | 2, 1 | 3, 2 | 3, 2 | 3, 3 | 4, 1 |
\(P_1\), \(P_2\) | \(a\) | \(b\) | \(c\) | \(d\) | \(e\) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
\(A\) | 1, 1 | 2, 2 | 2, 2 | 2, 1 | 4, 1 |
\(B\) | 1, 3 | 1, 3 | 2, 2 | 2, 3 | 3, 2 |
\(C\) | 1, 2 | 2, 4 | 1, 3 | 2, 3 | 1, 3 |
\(D\) | 3, 2 | 2, 3 | 1, 4 | 2, 2 | 1, 2 |
\(E\) | 2, 1 | 3, 2 | 3, 2 | 3, 3 | 4, 1 |
\(P_1\), \(P_2\) | \(a\) | \(b\) | \(c\) | \(d\) | \(e\) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
\(A\) | 1, 1 | 2, 2 | 2, 2 | 2, 1 | 4, 1 |
\(B\) | 1, 3 | 1, 3 | 2, 2 | 2, 3 | 3, 2 |
\(C\) | 1, 2 | 2, 4 | 1, 3 | 2, 3 | 1, 3 |
\(D\) | 3, 2 | 2, 3 | 1, 4 | 2, 2 | 1, 2 |
\(E\) | 2, 1 | 3, 2 | 3, 2 | 3, 3 | 4, 1 |
So we are left with a single strategy profile:
\(P_1\), \(P_2\) | \(a\) | \(b\) | \(c\) | \(d\) | \(e\) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
\(A\) | 1, 1 | 2, 2 | 2, 2 | 2, 1 | 4, 1 |
\(B\) | 1, 3 | 1, 3 | 2, 2 | 2, 3 | 3, 2 |
\(C\) | 1, 2 | 2, 4 | 1, 3 | 2, 3 | 1, 3 |
\(D\) | 3, 2 | 2, 3 | 1, 4 | 2, 2 | 1, 2 |
\(E\) | 2, 1 | 3, 2 | 3, 2 | 3, 3 | 4, 1 |
is this a NE?
Now what happens if we reset and start instead by looking for Player 2’s strictly dominated strategies?
\(P_1\), \(P_2\) | \(a\) | \(b\) | \(c\) | \(d\) | \(e\) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
\(A\) | 1, 1 | 2, 2 | 2, 2 | 2, 1 | 4, 1 |
\(B\) | 1, 3 | 1, 3 | 2, 2 | 2, 3 | 3, 2 |
\(C\) | 1, 2 | 2, 4 | 1, 3 | 2, 3 | 1, 3 |
\(D\) | 3, 2 | 2, 3 | 1, 4 | 2, 2 | 1, 2 |
\(E\) | 2, 1 | 3, 2 | 3, 2 | 3, 3 | 4, 1 |
\(P_1\), \(P_2\) | \(a\) | \(b\) | \(c\) | \(d\) | \(e\) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
\(A\) | 1, 1 | 2, 2 | 2, 2 | 2, 1 | 4, 1 |
\(B\) | 1, 3 | 1, 3 | 2, 2 | 2, 3 | 3, 2 |
\(C\) | 1, 2 | 2, 4 | 1, 3 | 2, 3 | 1, 3 |
\(D\) | 3, 2 | 2, 3 | 1, 4 | 2, 2 | 1, 2 |
\(E\) | 2, 1 | 3, 2 | 3, 2 | 3, 3 | 4, 1 |
\(P_1\), \(P_2\) | \(a\) | \(b\) | \(c\) | \(d\) | \(e\) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
\(A\) | 1, 1 | 2, 2 | 2, 2 | 2, 1 | 4, 1 |
\(B\) | 1, 3 | 1, 3 | 2, 2 | 2, 3 | 3, 2 |
\(C\) | 1, 2 | 2, 4 | 1, 3 | 2, 3 | 1, 3 |
\(D\) | 3, 2 | 2, 3 | 1, 4 | 2, 2 | 1, 2 |
\(E\) | 2, 1 | 3, 2 | 3, 2 | 3, 3 | 4, 1 |
\(P_1\), \(P_2\) | \(a\) | \(b\) | \(c\) | \(d\) | \(e\) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
\(A\) | 1, 1 | 2, 2 | 2, 2 | 2, 1 | 4, 1 |
\(B\) | 1, 3 | 1, 3 | 2, 2 | 2, 3 | 3, 2 |
\(C\) | 1, 2 | 2, 4 | 1, 3 | 2, 3 | 1, 3 |
\(D\) | 3, 2 | 2, 3 | 1, 4 | 2, 2 | 1, 2 |
\(E\) | 2, 1 | 3, 2 | 3, 2 | 3, 3 | 4, 1 |
\(P_1\), \(P_2\) | \(a\) | \(b\) | \(c\) | \(d\) | \(e\) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
\(A\) | 1, 1 | 2, 2 | 2, 2 | 2, 1 | 4, 1 |
\(B\) | 1, 3 | 1, 3 | 2, 2 | 2, 3 | 3, 2 |
\(C\) | 1, 2 | 2, 4 | 1, 3 | 2, 3 | 1, 3 |
\(D\) | 3, 2 | 2, 3 | 1, 4 | 2, 2 | 1, 2 |
\(E\) | 2, 1 | 3, 2 | 3, 2 | 3, 3 | 4, 1 |
Once again we’re left with the same strategy profile:
The process of IESDS can be summed up in three steps:
\(P_1\), \(P_2\) | x | y | z |
---|---|---|---|
X | 1,3 | 2,2 | 3,2 |
Y | 2,2 | 2,2 | 4,3 |
Z | 1,1 | 0,2 | 1,1 |
Which strategy is strictly dominated?
\(P_1\), \(P_2\) | x | y | z |
---|---|---|---|
X | 1,3 | 2,2 | 3,2 |
Y | 2,2 | 2,2 | 4,3 |
Z | 1,1 | 0,2 | 1,1 |
What does IESDS tell you about the NE of this game?
Not every simultaneous-move strategy can by only eliminating dominated strategies
Can we still find NE in those games?
Let’s revisit this game from the beginning of the lecture:
Row, Column | Left | Middle | Right |
---|---|---|---|
Top | 3, 1 | 2, 3 | 10, 2 |
High | 4, 5 | 3, 0 | 6, 4 |
Low | 2, 2 | 5, 4 | 12, 3 |
Bottom | 5, 6 | 4, 5 | 9, 7 |
Suppose you’re the Row player:
Row | Left |
---|---|
Top | 3 |
High | 4 |
Low | 2 |
Bottom | 5 |
What would you do if you knew Column will play Left?
Row | Left |
---|---|
Top | 3 |
High | 4 |
Low | 2 |
Bottom | 5 |
We’ll underline this payoff as Bottom is the best response to Left
Row | Left | Middle |
---|---|---|
Top | 3 | 2 |
High | 4 | 3 |
Low | 2 | 5 |
Bottom | 5 | 4 |
Also, Low is the best response to Middle
Row | Left | Middle | Right |
---|---|---|---|
Top | 3 | 2 | 10 |
High | 4 | 3 | 6 |
Low | 2 | 5 | 12 |
Bottom | 5 | 4 | 9 |
And Low is also the best response to Right
Row, Column | Left | Middle | Right |
---|---|---|---|
Top | 3, 1 | 2, 3 | 10, 2 |
High | 4 | 3 | 6 |
Low | 2 | 5 | 12 |
Bottom | 5 | 4 | 9 |
For Column, Middle is a best response to Top
Row, Column | Left | Middle | Right |
---|---|---|---|
Top | 3, 1 | 2, 3 | 10, 2 |
High | 4, 5 | 3, 0 | 6, 6 |
Low | 2 | 5 | 12 |
Bottom | 5 | 4 | 9 |
Left is a best response to High
Row, Column | Left | Middle | Right |
---|---|---|---|
Top | 3, 1 | 2, 3 | 10, 2 |
High | 4, 5 | 3, 0 | 6, 6 |
Low | 2, 2 | 5, 4 | 12, 3 |
Bottom | 5 | 4 | 9 |
Middle is a best response to Low
Row, Column | Left | Middle | Right |
---|---|---|---|
Top | 3, 1 | 2, 3 | 10, 2 |
High | 4, 5 | 3, 0 | 6, 6 |
Low | 2, 2 | 5, 4 | 12, 3 |
Bottom | 5, 6 | 4, 5 | 9, 7 |
And Right is a best response to Bottom
Row, Column | Left | Middle | Right |
---|---|---|---|
Top | 3, 1 | 2, 3 | 10, 2 |
High | 4, 5 | 3, 0 | 6, 6 |
Low | 2, 2 | 5, 4 | 12, 3 |
Bottom | 5, 6 | 4, 5 | 9, 7 |
The NE of this game is where the best responses intersect:
Let’s create a modified version of the three-roommate planting game:
Now instead of observing who contributed to the garden already in certain order, suppose that Emily, Nina, and Talia have to choose simultaneously
Also instead of the garden either dying or surviving, we’ll add more detailed levels of quality depending on who contributed
What are Emily’s preferences in this modified game? 1
Outcome | Payoff |
---|---|
Nina and Talia contribute, Emily doesn’t | 6 |
Everyone contributes | 5 |
Either Nina or Talia contribute, Emily doesn’t | 4 |
Either Nina or Talia contribute, and Emily does | 3 |
No-one contributes | 2 |
Emily is the only one to contribute | 1 |
Talia chooses:
Contribute
Emily, Nina | Contribute | Don’t |
---|---|---|
Contribute | 5, 5, 5 | 3, 6, 3 |
Don’t | 6, 3, 3 | 4, 4, 1 |
Don’t Contribute
Emily, Nina | Contribute | Don’t |
---|---|---|
Contribute | 3, 3, 6 | 1, 4, 4 |
Don’t | 4, 1, 4 | 2, 2, 2 |
Talia chooses:
Contribute
Emily, Nina | Contribute | Don’t |
---|---|---|
Contribute | 5, 5, 5 | 3, 6, 3 |
Don’t | 6, 3, 3 | 4, 4, 1 |
Don’t Contribute
Emily, Nina | Contribute | Don’t |
---|---|---|
Contribute | 3, 3, 6 | 1, 4, 4 |
Don’t | 4, 1, 4 | 2, 2, 2 |
Recall the various definitions of a Nash Equilibrium: * a strategy profile such that [no player can obtain a larger payoff by unilaterally deviating[{.hi}] (changing only their own strategy). * A strategy profile such that no single player can make themselves better off by changing only their own strategy. * A strategy profile such that, after the game is played, each player is satisfied that they could not have made a better decision.
So we’ve seen games with only one unique NE
But this doesn’t have to be the case
Next we will see games with multiple possible strategy profiles which are stable.
I agreed to meet my friend for coffee, but we didn’t decide on which cafe and now my phone is dead:
Dante, Jose | Starbucks | Peet’s |
---|---|---|
Starbucks | 1, 1 | 0, 0 |
Peet’s | 0, 0 | 1, 1 |
Dante, Jose | Starbucks | Peet’s |
---|---|---|
Starbucks | 1, 1 | 0, 0 |
Peet’s | 0, 0 | 1, 1 |
There are two NE’s where we are both happy
The problem is getting there
This type of game is called a coordination game
Even when there is an obviously preferred NE for both players, it may not be guaranteed that we will get there:
Dante, Jose | Starbucks | Roma |
---|---|---|
Starbucks | 1, 1 | 0, 0 |
Roma | 0, 0 | 2, 2 |
Depending on the set of beliefs held by the players, both strategy profiles could be theoretically stable
If for some reason we started out in a (Starbucks, Starbucks) equilibrium, there would be no incentive for either of us to deviate without communicating our intent to each other
What should happen when different players have different preferences over NE?
Dante, Jose | T4 | Metropol |
---|---|---|
T4 | 2, 1 | 0, 0 |
Metropol | 0, 0 | 1, 2 |
Two cavemen, Igg and Ogg, each decide whether to hunt Deer or Rabbit.
If both hunt Deer, they can work together to bring one down and have enough meat to share with leftovers
If instead the other goes off chasing a rabbit, the cameman hunting deer won’t be able to catch any meat, but the one hunting rabbit will get just enough to feed themselves
Or both cavemen could just decide to go off and hunt rabbits by themselves, ensuring they get can feed themselves
Igg, Ogg | Deer | Rabbit |
---|---|---|
Deer | 2, 2 | 0, 1 |
Rabbit | 1, 0 | 1, 1 |
Here are Igg’s best responses…
Igg, Ogg | Deer | Rabbit |
---|---|---|
Deer | 2, 2 | 0, 1 |
Rabbit | 1, 0 | 1, 1 |
And here are Ogg’s best responses…
Igg, Ogg | Deer | Rabbit |
---|---|---|
Deer | 2, 2 | 0, 1 |
Rabbit | 1, 0 | 1, 1 |
James, Dean | Swerve (Chicken) | Straight (Tough) |
---|---|---|
Swerve | 0, 0 | -1, 1 |
Straight | 1, -1 | -2, -2 |
Suppose that James and Dean are driving headlong towards each other, but neither one wants to be the ‘chicken’ by swerving out of the way
James, Dean | Swerve (Chicken) | Straight (Tough) |
---|---|---|
Swerve | 0, 0 | -1, 1 |
Straight | 1, -1 | -2, -2 |
There are two NE of this game
But how can we decide which one will happen?
Chapter 9 will look at potential commitment devices either player could use to try to achieve their preferred NE
\(P_1\), \(P_2\) | \(a\) | \(b\) | \(c\) | \(d\) |
---|---|---|---|---|
\(A\) | 1, 1 | 2, 2 | 2, 2 | 2, 1 |
\(B\) | 1, 3 | 1, 3 | 2, 2 | 2, 3 |
\(C\) | 1, 2 | 2, 4 | 1, 3 | 2, 3 |
\(D\) | 3, 2 | 2, 3 | 1, 4 | 2, 2 |
Igg, Ogg | \(Deer\) | \(Rabbit\) |
---|---|---|
\(Deer\) | 2, 2 | 0,1 |
\(Rabbit\) | 1,0 | 1, 1 |
Here, note that at each Nash Equilibrium, each player has no other strategy providing the same payoff.
This is a strict Nash Equilibrium.
Eleanor, Michael | \(Swerve\) | \(Straight\) |
---|---|---|
\(Swerve\) | 1, 1 | 1, 1 |
\(Straight\) | 1, 1 | 0, 0 |
Guido, Luca | \(Testify\) | \(Keep~Quiet\) |
---|---|---|
\(Testify\) | -10, -10 | 0, -20 |
\(Keep~Quiet\) | -20, 0 | -1, -1 |
In general, a Prisoner’s Dilemma is any game in which:
\(P_1\), \(P_2\) | A | B | C |
---|---|---|---|
A | 1, 1 | 1, 0 | 3, 0 |
B | 0, 1 | 2, 2 | 2, 1 |
B | 0, 3 | 1, 2 | 4, 4 |
James, Dean | Swerve (Chicken) | Straight (Tough) |
---|---|---|
Swerve | 0, 0 | -1, 1 |
Straight | 1, -1 | -2, -2 |
It is also possible to find Nash Equilibria by eliminating weakly dominated strategies
We will not spend a lot of time on this method, because it has two serious flaws:
In the game below, B is weakly dominated for both players.
Player 1, Player 2 | \(A\) | \(B\) |
---|---|---|
\(A\) | \(2,2\) | \(1,1\) |
\(B\) | \(1,1\) | \(1,1\) |
If we eliminate the weakly dominated strategy for both players, then the only remaining strategy profile is (A, A)
However, (B, B) is also a Nash equilibrium:
both players get payoff 1, and neither can improve that payoff by changing their own strategy.
We failed to find this equilibrium by eliminating weakly dominated strategies.
In the game below, M and R are weakly dominated.
Player 1, Player 2 | \(L\) | \(M\) | \(R\) |
---|---|---|---|
\(T\) | 0, 1 | 1, 0 | 0, 0 |
\(B\) | 0, 0 | 0, 0 | 1, 0 |
Player 1, Player 2 | \(L\) | \(M\) | \(R\) |
---|---|---|---|
\(T\) | 0, 1 | 1, 0 | 0, 0 |
\(B\) | 0, 0 | 0, 0 | 1, 0 |
However, if we begin by eliminating M, then T and R are both weakly dominated, and if we eliminate them, we are left with only (B, L).
Not only does the outcome of IEWDS depend on what we eliminate first, it still fails to find a third Nash equilibrium, which is (B, R).
In the game below, there are no strictly dominated strategies, meaning that IESDS will not do anything to simplify it.
P\(_2\) | ||||
\(a\) | \(b\) | \(c\) | ||
3-5 *P\(_1\) | \(A\) | 0, 4 | 1, 2 | 3, 3 |
3-5 | \(B\) | 1, 2 | 0, 3 | 1, 4 |
3-5 | \(C\) | 3, 3 | 1, 2 | 0, 1 |
3-5 |
However, we can see that B is non-rationalizable for Player 1: regardless of whether Player 2 chooses a, b, or c, Player 1 is better off playing either A or C.
Also, b is non-rationalizable for Player 2.
P\(_2\) | |||||
\(a\) | \(b\) | \(c\) | \(d\) | ||
3-6 *P\(_1\) | \(A\) | 1, 0 | 2, 1 | 3, 1 | 4, 2 |
3-6 | \(B\) | 3, 1 | 2, 2 | 2, 0 | 3, 0 |
3-6 | \(C\) | 3, 1 | 4, 0 | 1, 0 | 2, 0 |
3-6 | \(D\) | 4, 2 | 3, 0 | 2, 1 | 1, 1 |
3-6 |
Returning to this same example, we can start by eliminating B.
P\(_2\) | ||||
\(a\) | \(b\) | \(c\) | ||
3-5 *P\(_1\) | \(A\) | 0, 4 | 1, 2 | 3, 3 |
3-5 | \(B\) | 1, 2 | 0, 3 | 1, 4 |
3-5 | \(C\) | 3, 3 | 1, 2 | 0, 1 |
3-5 |
P\(_2\) | |||||
\(a\) | \(b\) | \(c\) | \(d\) | ||
3-6 *P\(_1\) | \(A\) | 1, 0 | 2, 1 | 3, 1 | 4, 2 |
3-6 | \(B\) | 3, 1 | 2, 2 | 2, 0 | 3, 0 |
3-6 | \(C\) | 3, 1 | 4, 0 | 1, 0 | 2, 0 |
3-6 | \(D\) | 4, 2 | 3, 0 | 2, 1 | 1, 1 |
3-6 |
P\(_2\) | ||||
\(x\) | \(y\) | \(z\) | ||
3-5 *P\(_1\) | \(X\) | \(1,3\) | \(2,2\) | \(3,2\) |
3-5 | \(Y\) | \(2,2\) | \(2,2\) | \(4,3\) |
3-5 | \(Z\) | \(1,1\) | \(0,2\) | \(1,1\) |
3-5 |
P\(_2\) | ||||
\(x\) | \(y\) | \(z\) | ||
3-5 *P\(_1\) | \(X\) | \(1,3\) | \(2,2\) | \(3,2\) |
3-5 | \(Y\) | \(2,2\) | \(2,2\) | \(4,3\) |
3-5 | \(Z\) | \(1,1\) | \(0,2\) | \(1,1\) |
3-5 |
This game has absolutely no strategies that can be eliminated: none are strictly dominated or non-rationalizable.
We can still find the NEs (of which there are quite a few) using best responses:
P\(_2\) | |||||
\(a\) | \(b\) | \(c\) | \(d\) | ||
3-6 *P\(_1\) | \(A\) | 1, 1 | 2, 2 | 2, 2 | 2, 1 |
3-6 | \(B\) | 1, 3 | 1, 3 | 2, 2 | 2, 3 |
3-6 | \(C\) | 1, 2 | 2, 4 | 1, 3 | 2, 3 |
3-6 | \(D\) | 3, 2 | 2, 3 | 1, 4 | 2, 2 |
3-6 |
P\(_2\) | ||||
\(X\) | \(Y\) | \(Z\) | ||
3-5 *P\(_1\) | \(A\) | 3, 3 | 2, 2 | 1, 1 |
3-5 | \(B\) | 4, 2 | 1, 1 | 2, 2 |
3-5 | \(C\) | 1, 1 | 2, 2 | 3, 1 |
3-5 |
Finding best responses first makes it a lot easier to search for non-rationalizable strategies.
Recall that a non-rationalizable strategy can also be called a non-best response: if none of the payoffs of a strategy are marked to indicate that it is a best-response, it is non-rationalizable. In other words:
Any row in which none of Player 1’s payoffs are marked to indicate a best response, is non-rationalizable.
P\(_2\) | |||||
\(a\) | \(b\) | \(c\) | \(d\) | ||
3-6 *P\(_1\) | \(A\) | 1, 0 | 2, 1 | 3, 1 | 4, 2 |
3-6 | \(B\) | 3, 1 | 2, 2 | 2, 0 | 3, 0 |
3-6 | \(C\) | 3, 1 | 4, 0 | 1, 0 | 2, 0 |
3-6 | \(D\) | 4, 2 | 3, 0 | 2, 1 | 1, 1 |
3-6 |
We found these best responses earlier (as well as the NEs of this game): note that in the row for Player 1’s strategy B, none of Player 1’s strategies are marked.
Likewise, none of Player 2’s payoffs are marked in column c. B and c are non-rationalizable strategies.
P\(_2\) | |||||
\(a\) | \(b\) | \(c\) | \(d\) | ||
3-6 *P\(_1\) | \(A\) | 1, 0 | 2, 1 | 3, 1 | 4, 2 |
3-6 | \(B\) | 3, 1 | 2, 2 | 2, 0 | 3, 0 |
3-6 | \(C\) | 3, 1 | 4, 0 | 1, 0 | 2, 0 |
3-6 | \(D\) | 4, 2 | 3, 0 | 2, 1 | 1, 1 |
3-6 |
EC327 | Lecture 3 | Simulataneous Games